Asymmetric Self-Perception Across 40 Identical Outcomes
28 successes (+1) and 12 failures (−1) — True Skill fixed at 7.0
High-E / Low-N (Trial 40)
8.41
Confident Zone (αE=0.45, αN=0.12)
Calibrated Bayesian (Trial 40)
7.00
True Skill Convergence (αE=0.25, αN=0.25)
Low-E / High-N (Trial 40)
4.32
Humble / Self-Critical (αE=0.12, αN=0.50)
Trial #14 of 40
Loss (−1)
Hover or click any point on chart to inspect trial
Event: "Cold brush-off at bar (she was with friends)"
High-E / Low-N Brain
7.76 (Δ −0.08)
Externalizes situational noise ("Timing was off, group dynamic was closed"); minimal dip to baseline self-perception.
Low-E / High-N Brain
4.56 (Δ −0.34)
Internalizes rejection as global identity evidence ("I lack presence"); steep threat-weighted downward revision.
Customize Personal Gain Ratio (αE / αN)
Gain Ratio: 3.75x (αE=0.45 / αN=0.12)