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Fig 1 & 2 • Fig 2B • Fig 3 • Fig 3.5 • Fig 4

Asymmetric Self-Perception Across 40 Identical Outcomes

28 successes (+1) and 12 failures (−1) — True Skill fixed at 7.0

High-E / Low-N (Trial 40) 8.41 Confident Zone (αE=0.45, αN=0.12)
Calibrated Bayesian (Trial 40) 7.00 True Skill Convergence (αE=0.25, αN=0.25)
Low-E / High-N (Trial 40) 4.32 Humble / Self-Critical (αE=0.12, αN=0.50)
Trial #14 of 40 Loss (−1)
Hover or click any point on chart to inspect trial
Event: "Cold brush-off at bar (she was with friends)"
High-E / Low-N Brain 7.76 (Δ −0.08)

Externalizes situational noise ("Timing was off, group dynamic was closed"); minimal dip to baseline self-perception.

Low-E / High-N Brain 4.56 (Δ −0.34)

Internalizes rejection as global identity evidence ("I lack presence"); steep threat-weighted downward revision.

Customize Personal Gain Ratio (αE / αN) Gain Ratio: 3.75x (αE=0.45 / αN=0.12)
0.45
0.12